Montebello Eviction Risk: Lower , Sterling
Tract 51107611205 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,985 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 51107611205 in the Montebello area of Sugarland Run, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,985. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Loudoun County average of 37.5%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 39.0253, -77.3787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montebello scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Montebello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montebello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Montebello
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 21 evictions over 1 years of observation.
At $2,402 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Sugarland Run commands. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611205
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611205?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611205?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611205?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611205?
Is tract 51107611205 considered part of Montebello?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611205?
What share of households in tract 51107611205 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611205 compare to Sterling overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.