Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,663 of 84,120 nationally
Montebello Eviction Risk: Moderate , Sterling
Tract 51107611502 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,998 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51107611502 sits in the Montebello neighborhood of Sterling, Virginia. It has a population of 6,998 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 62% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 45% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,892/month against a median household income of $135,625 — roughly 17% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,082
Renter share21.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$135,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 39.0156, -77.4032 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montebello scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sterling
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,892 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sterling
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sterling
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sterling
4.6
How Montebello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2016)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montebello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611502?
Census tract 51107611502 in the Montebello neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611502?
Median gross rent is $1,892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611502?
4.5% of residents in tract 51107611502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,998.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 26th, minority 80th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611502 considered part of Montebello?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611502 fall within Montebello (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.94% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611502 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611502 compare to Sterling overall?
Tract 51107611502 scores 5.5/10 — higher than the parent city of Sterling at 5.0/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sterling eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related