Neighborhood · Sterling, VA

Montebello Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 24,904 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.1–2.6

Montebello is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Sterling with 4 census tracts and a population of 24,904 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,152/month sits 1% higher than the Sterling citywide average ($2,138).

Risk score

1.5

Lower

4 tracts · population-weighted

Montebello vs Sterling How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.9% +47%

Sterling: 28.6%

Average gross rent

$2,152 +1%

Sterling: $2,138

Average HH income

$132,798 +6%

Sterling: $125,753

Poverty rate

6.1% -10%

Sterling: 6.8%

Renter share

34.7% +23%

Sterling: 28.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montebello and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.1–2.6

Why Montebello scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 4.5–7.3 across tracts

5.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–3.3 across tracts

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

35% renter households · Range 4.0–9.7 across tracts

5.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.3–5.4 across tracts

4.8

Economic stress

6.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts

1.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–5.4 across tracts

4.3

Risk score comparison

Montebello vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Montebello?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 1.1 to 2.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.6 1.6 1.1 1.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Montebello

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51107611501	2.6	4,086	34%	$2,153
51107611300	1.6	6,835	14%	$2,163
51107611502	1.1	6,998	62%	$1,892
51107611205	1.1	6,985	53%	$2,402

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 59%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 79%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 46%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Montebello

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

158Total filings (sum)
4.13%Avg annual filing rate
7.9%Peak year (2016)
4.13%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montebello

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.9%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility shutoff threat
14.2%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
12.4%No health insurance
26.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Montebello

What is the eviction-risk score for Montebello?

Montebello scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Montebello compare to Sterling overall?

Montebello scores 2.0 points lower than Sterling overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,152 vs $2,138.

What is the average rent in Montebello?

Average gross rent in Montebello is $2,152/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Montebello residents are renters?

35% of Montebello households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Sterling). The neighborhood has 24,904 residents.

Is Montebello a high social-vulnerability area?

Montebello sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Montebello have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Montebello is census tract 51107611501 (score 2.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 2.6, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Montebello for landlords?

Montebello carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sterling as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Montebello?

Montebello has 24,566 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montebello

1 Potomac Falls 4 tracts · pop 19,406 1.2 Seneca Green 2 tracts · pop 11,735 1.2 Herndon Heights 2 tracts · pop 7,238 1.7 Regency at Ashburn 2 tracts · pop 7,360 1 Potomac Green 2 tracts · pop 7,779 1.5 Loudoun Station 2 tracts · pop 5,281

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Sterling

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montebello.

1.4 Cooktown 1 tracts · pop 6,362

Zoom out