4 census tracts · pop 24,904 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 3.8–6.8
Montebello is a 4-tract neighborhood of Sterling, VA, population 24,904. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 42% against 28.6% citywide, putting Montebello 13.3% over its own city.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.8 to 6.8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filings are well documented here: 158 across 4 observed tracts.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 7.9% of renter households. Judgments average 1.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,152, close to the Sterling average.
35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Montebello vs SterlingHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority79%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Montebello
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
158Total filings (sum)
4.13%Avg annual filing rate
7.9%Peak year (2016)
4.13%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montebello
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.9%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility shutoff threat
14.2%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
12.4%No health insurance
26.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Montebello
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Montebello?
Montebello scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Montebello compare to Sterling overall?
Montebello scores 0.5 points higher than Sterling overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,152 vs $2,138.
Q3
What is the average rent in Montebello?
Average gross rent in Montebello is $2,152/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Montebello residents are renters?
35% of Montebello households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Sterling). The neighborhood has 24,904 residents.
Q5
Is Montebello a high social-vulnerability area?
Montebello sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Montebello have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Montebello is census tract 51107611501 (score 6.8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 6.8, a spread of 3 points.
Q7
How safe is Montebello for landlords?
Montebello carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Sterling as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Montebello?
Montebello has 24,566 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (38.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
