Eastgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Riding

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The voucher gap is 21.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 1 years of observation.

Food insecurity runs 10.4% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $189,199, annual rent is just 18%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.