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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Hilltop Plaza Eviction Risk: Elevated , Blacksburg

Tract 51121020702 · Montgomery County, VA · pop 3,894 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

51121020702 is a census tract in the Hilltop Plaza area of Blacksburg, VA. It scores 7.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,894 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 43% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,658
Renter share70.7%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate36.4%
Median income$39,461

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hilltop Plaza
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Blacksburg
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 23 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blacksburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2009, -80.3775 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hilltop Plaza scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blacksburg
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
36.4% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$1,206 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blacksburg
9.5

How Hilltop Plaza compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hilltop Plaza risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0207026.3Blacksburgparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hilltop Plaza

Against the Montgomery County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.6 points. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.4/10.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Set annual rent against average income of $39,461 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Average gross rent is $1,206, 11% below the Blacksburg average.

That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51121020702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51121020702?

Census tract 51121020702 in the Hilltop Plaza neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51121020702?

Median gross rent is $1,206/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51121020702?

36.4% of residents in tract 51121020702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,894.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51121020702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 4th, minority 30th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 51121020702 considered part of Hilltop Plaza?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51121020702 fall within Hilltop Plaza (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51121020702 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51121020702 compare to Blacksburg overall?

Tract 51121020702 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Blacksburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blacksburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blacksburg

Top eight tracts in Blacksburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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