Southlake Eviction Risk: Lower , Montclair
Tract 51153901009 · Prince William County, VA · pop 7,436 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51153901009 runs through the Southlake neighborhood of Montclair. With 7,436 residents, it scores 4.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 0% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,173 monthly, set against $163,598 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Montclair and the region
Centroid at 38.6215, -77.3559 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southlake scores 1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Southlake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 9Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2016)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southlake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Southlake
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montclair eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901009
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901009?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901009?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901009?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901009?
Is tract 51153901009 considered part of Southlake?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901009?
What share of households in tract 51153901009 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901009 compare to Montclair overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Montclair
Top eight tracts in Montclair ranked by composite eviction-risk score.