Neighborhood · Montclair, VA

Southlake Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1/10 · range 1–1.1

Southlake is a diverse neighborhood in Montclair with 2 census tracts and a population of 12,342 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 17% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,805/month sits 19% higher than the Montclair citywide average ($2,366).

Risk score

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Southlake vs Montclair How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

16.8% -39%

Montclair: 27.7%

Average gross rent

$2,805 +19%

Montclair: $2,366

Average HH income

$169,764 +18%

Montclair: $143,357

Poverty rate

1.3% -70%

Montclair: 4.3%

Renter share

7.7% -32%

Montclair: 11.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southlake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1–1.1

Why Southlake scores 1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

17% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Tenant organizing strength

8% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Economic stress

1.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–8.7 across tracts

7.1

Risk score comparison

Southlake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Southlake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51153901010	1.1	4,906	42%	$2,248
51153901009	1	7,436	0%	$3,173

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 40%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 2%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southlake

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

12Total filings (sum)
2.97%Avg annual filing rate
4.0%Peak year (2016)
2.97%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Southlake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.3%Housing insecurity
5.2%Utility shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
6.3%No health insurance
24.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Southlake

What is the eviction-risk score for Southlake?

Southlake scores 1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Southlake compare to Montclair overall?

Southlake scores 2.5 points lower than Montclair overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,805 vs $2,366.

What is the average rent in Southlake?

Average gross rent in Southlake is $2,805/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Southlake residents are renters?

8% of Southlake households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Montclair). The neighborhood has 12,342 residents.

Is Southlake a high social-vulnerability area?

Southlake sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Southlake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southlake is census tract 51153901010 (score 1.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1 to 1.1, a spread of 0.1 points.

How safe is Southlake for landlords?

Southlake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montclair as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Southlake?

Southlake has 12,093 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.1%), Other / Multiracial (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southlake

2.1 Spyglass Hill 2 tracts · pop 8,989 1.7 Kerrydale 2 tracts · pop 12,361 1.9 Potomac Town Center 2 tracts · pop 12,160 2.7 Marumsco Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,902 2 The Heights 5 tracts · pop 26,016 2.3 Featherstone Shores 3 tracts · pop 15,165

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montclair

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southlake.

1.3 Cardinal Crest 1 tracts · pop 6,257 2.3 Four Seasons 1 tracts · pop 3,484

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