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Neighborhood · Montclair, VA

Southlake Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,342 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1

Southlake spans 2 census tracts of Montclair, VA, population 12,342. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Cost burden runs 17% against 27.7% citywide, putting Southlake 10.9% under its own city. The voucher gap is 21.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,805, 19% above the Montclair average of $2,366.

Filings are well documented here: 12 across 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10.

SNAP participation is 6.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.1/10. Food insecurity affects 8.5% of adults, 9.3 points below the national rate.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 4.0% of renter households. Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Cardinal Crest and Four Seasons score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Southlake vs Montclair How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
16.8% -39%
Montclair: 27.7%
Average gross rent
$2,805 +19%
Montclair: $2,366
Average HH income
$169,764 +18%
Montclair: $143,357
Poverty rate
1.3% -70%
Montclair: 4.3%
Renter share
7.7% -32%
Montclair: 11.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Southlake and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–3.1

Why Southlake scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
1.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.7–8.7 across tracts
7.1
Risk score comparison

Southlake vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Southlake score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1SouthlakeNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Southlake

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901009 3.1 7,436 0% $3,173
51153901010 3.1 4,906 42% $2,248
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 9%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 40%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Southlake

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings (sum)
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.97%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Southlake

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Southlake

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Southlake?

Southlake scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Southlake compare to Montclair overall?

Southlake scores 0.8 points lower than Montclair overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,805 vs $2,366.
Q3

What is the average rent in Southlake?

Average gross rent in Southlake is $2,805/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Southlake residents are renters?

8% of Southlake households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Montclair). The neighborhood has 12,342 residents.
Q5

Is Southlake a high social-vulnerability area?

Southlake sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Southlake have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Southlake is census tract 51153901009 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 3.1, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Southlake for landlords?

Southlake carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montclair as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Southlake?

Southlake has 12,093 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.1%), Other / Multiracial (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Southlake

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montclair

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Southlake.

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