Cardinal Crest Eviction Risk: Lower , Montclair
Tract 51153901011 · Prince William County, VA · pop 6,257 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51153901011 covers part of the Cardinal Crest area of Montclair, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,257 residents. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Prince William County average of 43.3%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Montclair and the region
Centroid at 38.6128, -77.3253 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cardinal Crest scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cardinal Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 37%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 10Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cardinal Crest
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 10 filings here across 1 tracked years. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.9/10.
It sits 0.7 points below the Prince William County average of 4.1. The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,327, close to the Montclair average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51153901011
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901011?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901011?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901011?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901011?
Is tract 51153901011 considered part of Cardinal Crest?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901011?
What share of households in tract 51153901011 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901011 compare to Montclair overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Montclair
Top eight tracts in Montclair ranked by composite eviction-risk score.