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Neighborhood · Montclair, VA

Cardinal Crest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,257 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Cardinal Crest is a one-tract neighborhood of Montclair, VA, population 6,257. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 29% of renter households. Court records for this tract carry 10 eviction filings.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.4% of renter households. Judgments average 3.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 8% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Southlake and Four Seasons.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,327, close to the Montclair average.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $137,656.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cardinal Crest vs Montclair How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.5% +3%
Montclair: 27.7%
Average gross rent
$2,327 -2%
Montclair: $2,366
Average HH income
$137,656 -4%
Montclair: $143,357
Poverty rate
6.5% +52%
Montclair: 4.3%
Renter share
7.5% -34%
Montclair: 11.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cardinal Crest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Cardinal Crest scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Rent control risk
29% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
8% renter households · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts
2.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Cardinal Crest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cardinal Crest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Cardinal CrestNeighborhood3.9Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cardinal Crest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901011 3.4 6,257 28% $2,327
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 4%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cardinal Crest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings (sum)
  • 4.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.42%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cardinal Crest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cardinal Crest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cardinal Crest?

Cardinal Crest scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cardinal Crest compare to Montclair overall?

Cardinal Crest scores 0.5 points lower than Montclair overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 29% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,327 vs $2,366.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cardinal Crest?

Average gross rent in Cardinal Crest is $2,327/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cardinal Crest residents are renters?

8% of Cardinal Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Montclair). The neighborhood has 6,257 residents.
Q5

Is Cardinal Crest a high social-vulnerability area?

Cardinal Crest sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Cardinal Crest for landlords?

Cardinal Crest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Montclair as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Cardinal Crest?

Cardinal Crest has 6,534 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cardinal Crest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Montclair

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cardinal Crest.

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