Avendale Eviction Risk: Lower , Linton Hall
Tract 51153901416 · Prince William County, VA · pop 5,143 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 51153901416 covers the Avendale neighborhood of Linton Hall in Virginia. Home to 5,143 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 10% of renter households, a modest level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,900 monthly, set against $189,570 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Linton Hall and the region
Centroid at 38.7241, -77.5428 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avendale scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Avendale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2016)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 8.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Avendale
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Linton Hall eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Prince William County average of 5.7 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901416
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901416?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901416?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901416?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901416?
Is tract 51153901416 considered part of Avendale?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901416?
What share of households in tract 51153901416 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901416 compare to Linton Hall overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Linton Hall
Top eight tracts in Linton Hall ranked by composite eviction-risk score.