Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally
Aquia Eviction Risk: Lower , Aquia Harbour
Tract 51179010108 · Stafford County, VA · pop 6,235 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51179010108 sits in Aquia in Aquia Harbour, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. It lands near the 24th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 14% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,736 monthly, set against $156,300 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,778
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$156,300
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aquia Harbour and the region
Centroid at 38.4821, -77.3784 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aquia scores 1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,736 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aquia Harbour
3.7
How Aquia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 38Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2015)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aquia. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 9.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Aquia
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aquia Harbour, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stafford County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010108?
Census tract 51179010108 in the Aquia neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010108?
Median gross rent is $2,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010108?
3.1% of residents in tract 51179010108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,235.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 8th, minority 70th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 51179010108 considered part of Aquia?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51179010108 fall within Aquia (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010108?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010108 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.82% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51179010108 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51179010108 compare to Aquia Harbour overall?
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aquia Harbour
Top eight tracts in Aquia Harbour ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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