Aquia Town Center Eviction Risk: Lower , Aquia Harbour
Tract 51179010103 · Stafford County, VA · pop 4,817 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up Aquia Town Center in Aquia Harbour, census tract 51179010103 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #37,660 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,875 a month against an average household income of $121,250 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Aquia Harbour and the region
Centroid at 38.4590, -77.3929 · click any tract to drill in
Why Aquia Town Center scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Aquia Town Center compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 140Total filings over 2 yrs
- 16.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.2%Peak (2015)
- 53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Aquia Town Center. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Aquia Town Center
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 4.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aquia Harbour, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51179010103
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010103?
What is the average rent in tract 51179010103?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010103?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010103?
Is tract 51179010103 considered part of Aquia Town Center?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010103?
What share of households in tract 51179010103 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51179010103 compare to Aquia Harbour overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Aquia Harbour
Top eight tracts in Aquia Harbour ranked by composite eviction-risk score.