Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51179010205 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51179010205 ·
Stafford County, VA · pop 6,748
51179010205 is a census tract in Stafford County, VA. It scores 4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,748. Against Stafford County at 41.0%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 12%Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,926
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$137,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
32th percentile
#22 of 32 tracts In Stafford County
Low
Within state
53th percentile
#1,032 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
National
42th percentile
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.4661, -77.4916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51179010205 scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,095 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51179010205 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
61%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.0%Housing insecurity
6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51179010205
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Stafford County average of 4.5 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010205?
Census tract 51179010205 in Stafford County scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010205?
Median gross rent is $2,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010205?
2.2% of residents in tract 51179010205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,748.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 32th, minority 61th, housing 21th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010205?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010205 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.05% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51179010205 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.