Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51179010217 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51179010217 · Stafford County, VA · pop 5,424
Census tract 51179010217 covers part of Stafford County, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,424 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.1/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,611
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$211,589
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
National
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.4431, -77.5027 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51179010217 scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,521 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51179010217 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51179010217
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 41.0% across Stafford County.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Against average income of $211,589, annual rent is just 9%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010217
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010217?
Census tract 51179010217 in Stafford County scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010217?
Median gross rent is $1,521/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010217?
1.2% of residents in tract 51179010217 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010217?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 12th, minority 43th, housing 20th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51179010217 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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