Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51179010504 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51179010504 · Stafford County, VA · pop 2,005
Eviction risk in Stafford in Stafford County centers on tract 51179010504, which scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,005 residents. On the national scale it ranks #61,260 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 21% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,673 a month while the average household earns $123,750 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units650
Renter share12.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$123,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Stafford County and the region
Centroid at 38.2704, -77.3779 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51179010504 scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,673 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51179010504 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 2 yrs
- 11.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.4%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.4%Food insecurity
- 10.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51179010504
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Stafford County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 11.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.4% of renter households in 2015.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51179010504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010504?
Census tract 51179010504 in Stafford County scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51179010504?
Median gross rent is $1,673/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010504?
8.8% of residents in tract 51179010504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,005.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 24th, minority 46th, housing 22th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.50% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51179010504 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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