Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Major Court Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590000100 · Danville city, VA · pop 5,613 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51590000100 runs through the Major Court area of Danville. With 5,613 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $812 monthly, set against $44,175 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 28% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units2,681

Renter share38.1%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate18.3%

Median income$44,175

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.6297, -79.3911 · click any tract to drill in

Why Major Court scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Danville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

18.3% poverty · this tract

4.6

Supply constraint

$812 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Danville

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Danville

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Danville

6.9

How Major Court compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.1%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
24.5%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
39.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Major Court

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000100?

Census tract 51590000100 in the Major Court neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51590000100?

Median gross rent is $812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000100?

18.3% of residents in tract 51590000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,613.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 67th, minority 72th, housing 62th.

Is tract 51590000100 considered part of Major Court?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000100 fall within Major Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51590000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51590000100 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000100 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.