Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Major Court Eviction Risk: Lower , Danville
Tract 51590000100 ·
Danville city, VA · pop 5,613 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 51590000100 in the Major Court area of Danville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,613 residents. Against Danville City at 42.0%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 28%Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,681
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate18.3%
Median income$44,175
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Major Court
Moderate
Within parent city
27th percentile
#12 of 16 tracts In Danville
Low
Within county
20th percentile
#13 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Low
Within state
49th percentile
#1,111 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Danville and the region
Centroid at 36.6297, -79.3911 · click any tract to drill in
Why Major Court scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.3% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$812 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9
How Major Court compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
72%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.1%Housing insecurity
13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
24.5%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
39.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Major Court
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 24.5% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Against the Danville City average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $812, close to the Danville average.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $44,175. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51590000100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000100?
Census tract 51590000100 in the Major Court neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51590000100?
Median gross rent is $812/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000100?
18.3% of residents in tract 51590000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,613.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 67th, minority 72th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 51590000100 considered part of Major Court?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000100 fall within Major Court (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51590000100 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51590000100 compare to Danville overall?
Tract 51590000100 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Danville at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Danville
Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.