Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Sandy Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590000800 · Danville city, VA · pop 2,745 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51590000800 sits in Sandy Shores in Danville eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.1/10. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,015 a month against an average household income of $46,607 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,161

Renter share43.0%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate26.2%

Median income$46,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5915, -79.4331 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sandy Shores scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Danville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

26.2% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$1,015 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Danville

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Danville

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Danville

6.9

How Sandy Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

60%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.8%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
37.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sandy Shores

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000800?

Census tract 51590000800 in the Sandy Shores neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51590000800?

Median gross rent is $1,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000800?

26.2% of residents in tract 51590000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,745.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 86th, minority 74th, housing 95th.

Is tract 51590000800 considered part of Sandy Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000800 fall within Sandy Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51590000800 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51590000800 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000800 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.