Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Sandy Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville
Tract 51590000800 ·
Danville city, VA · pop 2,745 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51590000800 is a census tract in the Sandy Shores area of Danville, VA. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,745. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 19%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,161
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$46,607
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Sandy Shores
Moderate
Within parent city
53th percentile
#8 of 16 tracts In Danville
Moderate
Within county
53th percentile
#8 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Moderate
Within state
70th percentile
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Danville and the region
Centroid at 36.5915, -79.4331 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sandy Shores scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,015 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9
How Sandy Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
60%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.8%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
37.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sandy Shores
Cost burden runs 56% here against 42.0% across Danville City. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,015 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Danville commands. The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Danville City average of 4.5 closely.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $46,607.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51590000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000800?
Census tract 51590000800 in the Sandy Shores neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51590000800?
Median gross rent is $1,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000800?
26.2% of residents in tract 51590000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 86th, minority 74th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 51590000800 considered part of Sandy Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000800 fall within Sandy Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51590000800 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51590000800 compare to Danville overall?
Tract 51590000800 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Danville
Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.