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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Grove Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590001100 · Danville city, VA · pop 1,188 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

51590001100 is a census tract in the Grove Park area of Danville, VA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.4/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units579
Renter share51.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate29.3%
Median income$46,657

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Grove Park
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 16 tracts In Danville
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#545 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5660, -79.3960 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grove Park scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
29.3% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$739 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9

How Grove Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grove Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0011004.4Danvilleparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grove Park

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 28.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, economic stress reads 7.3/10. 37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Danville City average of 42.0%. At $739 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Danville commands.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Danville City average of 4.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $46,657.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590001100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590001100?

Census tract 51590001100 in the Grove Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51590001100?

Median gross rent is $739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590001100?

29.3% of residents in tract 51590001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,188.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 66th, minority 82th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51590001100 considered part of Grove Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590001100 fall within Grove Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51590001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51590001100 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590001100 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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