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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Holbrook-Ross Eviction Risk: Elevated , Danville

Tract 51590000600 · Danville city, VA · pop 2,420 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is Holbrook-Ross in Danville for landlords? Census tract 51590000600 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $639 a month while the average household earns $33,750 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 30% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,009
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$33,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Holbrook-Ross
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Danville
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Danville city
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5847, -79.4004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holbrook-Ross scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$639 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9

How Holbrook-Ross compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holbrook-Ross risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 000600Danville: 3.73.7Danvilleparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holbrook-Ross

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000600?

Census tract 51590000600 in the Holbrook-Ross neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51590000600?

Median gross rent is $639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000600?

33.0% of residents in tract 51590000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,420.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 94th, minority 79th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 51590000600 considered part of Holbrook-Ross?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000600 fall within Holbrook-Ross (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51590000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51590000600 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000600 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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