Eviction Risk in Holbrook-Ross , Danville
Tract 51590000600 · Danville city, VA · pop 2,420 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51590000600 sits in the Holbrook-Ross neighborhood of Danville, Virginia. It has a population of 2,420 and an eviction-risk score of 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). 49% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 33% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $639/month against a median household income of $33,750 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,403 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 1.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 29.6%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 67.2%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.4%
- Other / Multiracial 1.4%
How the 7.0/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.4 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 6.1 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 6.5 | Danville (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.1 | Danville (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 3.3 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 9.2 | Danville (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 6.9 | Danville (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 8.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 2.5 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 94%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.4%Housing insecurity
- 18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.8%Food insecurity
- 35.2%SNAP enrollment
- 16.5%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.9%Any disability
About tract 51590000600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000600?
Census tract 51590000600 in the Holbrook-Ross neighborhood scores 7.0/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 51590000600?
Median gross rent is $639/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000600?
33.0% of residents in tract 51590000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,420.
How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 94th, minority 79th, housing 84th.
Is tract 51590000600 considered part of Holbrook-Ross?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000600 fall within Holbrook-Ross (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 51590000600 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.