Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Danville
Tract 51590000700 ·
Danville city, VA · pop 3,463 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51590000700 is a census tract in the Forest Hills area of Danville, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,463. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 17%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$74,568
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#16 of 16 tracts In Danville
Very Low
Within county
0th percentile
#16 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Very Low
Within state
18th percentile
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Danville and the region
Centroid at 36.5771, -79.4190 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.3%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
7.2%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Danville City average of 42.0%.
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Danville City average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. At $980 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Danville commands. The voucher gap is 15.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $74,568, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51590000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000700?
Census tract 51590000700 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51590000700?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000700?
7.0% of residents in tract 51590000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,463.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 42th, minority 36th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 51590000700 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000700 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51590000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51590000700 compare to Danville overall?
Tract 51590000700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Danville at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Danville
Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.