Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Druid Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Danville

Tract 51590001000 · Danville city, VA · pop 3,559 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Druid Hills in Danville anchors census tract 51590001000, which lands at 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #4,134 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $791 monthly, set against $32,337 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 40% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,588

Renter share69.8%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate38.2%

Median income$32,337

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5635, -79.4163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Druid Hills scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Danville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

38.2% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$791 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Danville

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Danville

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Danville

6.9

How Druid Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
69%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.5%Housing insecurity
21.7%Utility-shutoff threat
37.9%Food insecurity
41.1%SNAP enrollment
19.3%Transit barriers
14.6%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
45.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Druid Hills

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590001000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590001000?

Census tract 51590001000 in the Druid Hills neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51590001000?

Median gross rent is $791/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590001000?

38.2% of residents in tract 51590001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,559.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 69th, minority 81th, housing 73th.

Is tract 51590001000 considered part of Druid Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590001000 fall within Druid Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51590001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51590001000 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590001000 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.