Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Grove Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590001100 · Danville city, VA · pop 1,188 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is Grove Park in Danville for landlords? Census tract 51590001100 scores 6.6/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 88% of US census tracts.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $739 a month against an average household income of $46,657 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units579

Renter share51.8%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate29.3%

Median income$46,657

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5660, -79.3960 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grove Park scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Danville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

29.3% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$739 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Danville

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Danville

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Danville

6.9

How Grove Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
7%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
15.4%Utility-shutoff threat
27.6%Food insecurity
28.4%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
41.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grove Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590001100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590001100?

Census tract 51590001100 in the Grove Park neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51590001100?

Median gross rent is $739/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590001100?

29.3% of residents in tract 51590001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,188.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590001100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 66th, minority 82th, housing 7th.

Is tract 51590001100 considered part of Grove Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590001100 fall within Grove Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51590001100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51590001100 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590001100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.