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Neighborhood · Danville, VA

Grove Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,188 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Grove Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Danville, VA, population 1,188. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 37% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Danville rate of 27.7%.

The poverty rate is 29%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.3/10.

15.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 27.6% of adults, 9.8 points above the national rate.

At $739 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Danville commands. That places it #7 of 15 neighborhoods in Danville. The closest comparables inside the same city are Pleasant Grove and Sandy Shores.

Against average income of $46,657, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Grove Park vs Danville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.3% +35%
Danville: 27.7%
Average gross rent
$739 -12%
Danville: $836
Average HH income
$46,657 +9%
Danville: $42,778
Poverty rate
29.3% +17%
Danville: 25.0%
Renter share
51.8% -1%
Danville: 52.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grove Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Grove Park scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
52% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
29.3% below poverty line · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Grove Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grove Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Grove ParkNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Grove Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51590001100 4.9 1,188 37% $739
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 39

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grove Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grove Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grove Park?

Grove Park scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grove Park compare to Danville overall?

Grove Park scores 0.5 points higher than Danville overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $739 vs $836.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grove Park?

Average gross rent in Grove Park is $739/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grove Park residents are renters?

52% of Grove Park households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Danville). The neighborhood has 1,188 residents.
Q5

Is Grove Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Grove Park sits in the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Grove Park for landlords?

Grove Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Danville as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Grove Park?

Grove Park has 1,353 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (61.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (23%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grove Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Danville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grove Park.

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