Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Green Acres Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590001301 · Danville city, VA · pop 1,315 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 51590001301 in Green Acres in Danville ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,315 residents. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $734 monthly, set against $37,241 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 38% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units682

Renter share54.5%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate14.5%

Median income$37,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5848, -79.3366 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Acres scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Danville

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

14.5% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$734 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Danville

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Danville

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Danville

6.9

How Green Acres compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Green Acres. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.1%Housing insecurity
13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
24.6%Food insecurity
23.8%SNAP enrollment
12.7%Transit barriers
12.0%No health insurance
18.7%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Acres

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590001301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590001301?

Census tract 51590001301 in the Green Acres neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51590001301?

Median gross rent is $734/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590001301?

14.5% of residents in tract 51590001301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,315.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590001301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 65th, minority 79th, housing 40th.

Is tract 51590001301 considered part of Green Acres?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590001301 fall within Green Acres (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51590001301 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51590001301 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590001301 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.