Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Pine Chapel Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton

Tract 51650010315 · Hampton city, VA · pop 3,474 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In Pine Chapel Village in Hampton, census tract 51650010315 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #44,019 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,527 a month against an average household income of $68,053 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 98% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 49% Owners 2%

Tract context

Occupied units1,984

Renter share97.8%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate21.3%

Median income$68,053

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hampton and the region

Centroid at 37.0458, -76.3897 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pine Chapel Village scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Hampton

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.1

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

21.3% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,527 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Hampton

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Hampton

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Hampton

4.5

How Pine Chapel Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pine Chapel Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.5%Food insecurity
20.5%SNAP enrollment
13.1%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
38.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pine Chapel Village

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampton City County average of 4.9 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51650010315

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010315?

Census tract 51650010315 in the Pine Chapel Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51650010315?

Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010315?

21.3% of residents in tract 51650010315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,474.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 38th, minority 84th, housing 60th.

Is tract 51650010315 considered part of Pine Chapel Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010315 fall within Pine Chapel Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51650010315 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51650010315 compare to Hampton overall?

Tract 51650010315 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hampton

Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.