Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Country Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Manassas
Tract 51683910100 · Manassas city, VA · pop 5,713 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51683910100 sits in the Country Place area of Manassas eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Population here is 5,713. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,645
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$123,982
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7603, -77.4894 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Place scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,963 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How Country Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Place
The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.1/10. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Manassas City average of 4.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,963, close to the Manassas average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $123,982.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910100?
Census tract 51683910100 in the Country Place neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910100?
Median gross rent is $1,963/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910100?
8.2% of residents in tract 51683910100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,713.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 74th, minority 69th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910100 considered part of Country Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910100 fall within Country Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910100 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910100 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Manassas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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