Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Country Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Manassas
Tract 51683910201 · Manassas city, VA · pop 5,540 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
51683910201 is a census tract in the Country Place area of Manassas, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,540 residents. Cost burden runs 31% here against 44.2% across Manassas City.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,915
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$131,058
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manassas and the region
Centroid at 38.7623, -77.4712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Country Place scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manassas
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,543 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manassas
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manassas
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manassas
5.0
How Country Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Country Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.6%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Country Place
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
At $1,543 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Manassas commands. Against the Manassas City average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $131,058, annual rent is just 14%.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51683910201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51683910201?
Census tract 51683910201 in the Country Place neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51683910201?
Median gross rent is $1,543/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51683910201?
5.1% of residents in tract 51683910201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,540.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51683910201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 48th, minority 73th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 51683910201 considered part of Country Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51683910201 fall within Country Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51683910201 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51683910201 compare to Manassas overall?
Tract 51683910201 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Manassas at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manassas eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manassas
Top eight tracts in Manassas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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