Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Willoughby Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710000400 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51710000400 sits in the Willoughby Beach area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. Population here is 3,507. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,686
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$58,265
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9650, -76.2907 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willoughby Beach scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,169 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Willoughby Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 74%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 599Total filings over 2 yrs
- 20.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.6%Peak (2011)
- 230Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 11.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 9.2%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willoughby Beach
This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 599 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,169, 12% below the Norfolk average. Filings peaked in 2011 at 24.6% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 20.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710000400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000400?
Census tract 51710000400 in the Willoughby Beach neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710000400?
Median gross rent is $1,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000400?
13.7% of residents in tract 51710000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 21th, minority 57th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 51710000400 considered part of Willoughby Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000400 fall within Willoughby Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 599 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.18% of renter households, peaking at 24.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710000400 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710000400 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710000400 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710000400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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