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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Harbor Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710005000 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 51710005000 sits in the Harbor Vista area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 22% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$45,577

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Harbor Vista
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8333, -76.2836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harbor Vista scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Harbor Vista compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Harbor Vista risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0050004.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 416Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 34.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 35.1%Peak (2016)
  • 210Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harbor Vista

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 64% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $45,577, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Housing insecurity runs 30.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 46.3% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 416 evictions over 2 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 35.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 34.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710005000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710005000?

Census tract 51710005000 in the Harbor Vista neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710005000?

Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710005000?

38.0% of residents in tract 51710005000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710005000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 43th, minority 96th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 51710005000 considered part of Harbor Vista?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710005000 fall within Harbor Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710005000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 416 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710005000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.93% of renter households, peaking at 35.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710005000 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710005000 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710005000 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710005000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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