Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Denby Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710001400 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,678 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51710001400 covers part of the Denby Park area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,678 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$34,519
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9080, -76.2680 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denby Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,014 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Denby Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 282Total filings over 2 yrs
- 17.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 27.5%Peak (2011)
- 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 21.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 40.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denby Park
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $34,519 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,014, 23% below the Norfolk average. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Norfolk City average of 50.4%. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 282 evictions over 2 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 27.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710001400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710001400?
Census tract 51710001400 in the Denby Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710001400?
Median gross rent is $1,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710001400?
23.4% of residents in tract 51710001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710001400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 95th, minority 70th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 51710001400 considered part of Denby Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710001400 fall within Denby Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710001400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 282 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710001400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.55% of renter households, peaking at 27.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710001400 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710001400 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710001400 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710001400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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