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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Lenox Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710000600 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,250 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51710000600 is a census tract in the Lenox area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,250 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 26% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$60,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lenox
Moderate
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#649 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9404, -76.2535 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lenox scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Lenox compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lenox risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0006004.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,030Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 47.67%Avg annual filing rate
  • 53.2%Peak (2016)
  • 583Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lenox

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,030 filings here across 2 tracked years.

At $1,150 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Norfolk commands. It sits 0.6 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2016 at 53.2% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 47.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710000600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710000600?

Census tract 51710000600 in the Lenox neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710000600?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710000600?

21.0% of residents in tract 51710000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,250.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710000600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 85th, minority 72th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 51710000600 considered part of Lenox?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710000600 fall within Lenox (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710000600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,030 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710000600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 47.67% of renter households, peaking at 53.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710000600 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710000600 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710000600 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710000600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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