Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710002800 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,143 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Colonial Place neighborhood of Norfolk, census tract 51710002800 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,558 monthly, set against $89,483 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,080
Renter share44.3%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$89,483
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8859, -76.2848 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Place scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,558 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Colonial Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 37%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 312Total filings over 2 yrs
- 18.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.2%Peak (2011)
- 102Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonial Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 5.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Place
What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710002800?
Census tract 51710002800 in the Colonial Place neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710002800?
Median gross rent is $1,558/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710002800?
5.8% of residents in tract 51710002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,143.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 17th, minority 45th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51710002800 considered part of Colonial Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710002800 fall within Colonial Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.31% of renter households, peaking at 23.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710002800 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710002800 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710002800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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