Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Winona Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710003000 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 1,981 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51710003000 sits in the Winona area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units794
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$102,292
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8772, -76.2693 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winona scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,628 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Winona compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 84%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 2 yrs
- 15.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.0%Peak (2016)
- 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winona
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Average gross rent is $1,628, 23% above the Norfolk average.
It sits 1.1 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 2 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 21.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 15.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710003000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710003000?
Census tract 51710003000 in the Winona neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710003000?
Median gross rent is $1,628/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710003000?
4.6% of residents in tract 51710003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,981.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710003000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 20th, minority 57th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 51710003000 considered part of Winona?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710003000 fall within Winona (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710003000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.18% of renter households, peaking at 21.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710003000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710003000 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710003000 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710003000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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