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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Camellia Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710006604 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,588 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 51710006604 covers the Camellia Shores area of Norfolk, home to 2,588 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. On the national scale it ranks #47,089 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,627 a month against an average household income of $73,000 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 38% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$73,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Camellia Shores
Very High
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Elevated
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Elevated
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9209, -76.1961 · click any tract to drill in

Why Camellia Shores scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,627 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Camellia Shores compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Camellia Shores risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 006604Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 222Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 20.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.4%Peak (2011)
  • 100Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Camellia Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Camellia Shores

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006604?

Census tract 51710006604 in the Camellia Shores neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006604?

Median gross rent is $1,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006604?

19.9% of residents in tract 51710006604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,588.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 82th, minority 62th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006604 considered part of Camellia Shores?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006604 fall within Camellia Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.99% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006604 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006604 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006604 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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