Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Camellia Shores Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710006604 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,588 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51710006604 is a census tract in the Camellia Shores area of Norfolk, VA. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,588. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$73,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9209, -76.1961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Camellia Shores scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,627 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Camellia Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 2 yrs
- 20.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.4%Peak (2011)
- 100Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Camellia Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.5%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.1%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Camellia Shores
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Average gross rent is $1,627, 23% above the Norfolk average. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 222 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 24.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 21.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Norfolk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710006604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006604?
Census tract 51710006604 in the Camellia Shores neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710006604?
Median gross rent is $1,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006604?
19.9% of residents in tract 51710006604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 82th, minority 62th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 51710006604 considered part of Camellia Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006604 fall within Camellia Shores (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006604?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.99% of renter households, peaking at 24.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710006604 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710006604 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710006604 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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