Meadowbrook Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. It sits 1.1 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 516 filings here across 2 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2011, when 49.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 29.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.