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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710007002 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,526 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51710007002 (Elizabeth Park in Norfolk, Virginia) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

About 56% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,399 monthly, set against $79,408 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 21% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$79,408

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Elizabeth Park
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#54 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Low
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#534 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8457, -76.2185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth Park scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,399 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Elizabeth Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elizabeth Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 007002Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 481Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 41.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.5%Peak (2011)
  • 225Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth Park

What moves this score most is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710007002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710007002?

Census tract 51710007002 in the Elizabeth Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710007002?

Median gross rent is $1,399/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710007002?

12.2% of residents in tract 51710007002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,526.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710007002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 21th, minority 78th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 51710007002 considered part of Elizabeth Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710007002 fall within Elizabeth Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710007002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 481 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710007002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.24% of renter households, peaking at 42.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710007002 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710007002 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710007002 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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