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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Elizabeth Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710007002 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,526 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51710007002 covers part of the Elizabeth Park area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,526 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 21% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share48.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$79,408

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Elizabeth Park
Moderate
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Low
Within state
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#1,618 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8457, -76.2185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elizabeth Park scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,399 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Elizabeth Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elizabeth Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0070024.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 481Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 41.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 42.5%Peak (2011)
  • 225Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elizabeth Park

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.

The filing record is not thin: 481 evictions over 2 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3/10.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 42.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 41.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,399, close to the Norfolk average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $79,408.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710007002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710007002?

Census tract 51710007002 in the Elizabeth Park neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710007002?

Median gross rent is $1,399/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710007002?

12.2% of residents in tract 51710007002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,526.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710007002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 21th, minority 78th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 51710007002 considered part of Elizabeth Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710007002 fall within Elizabeth Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710007002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 481 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710007002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.24% of renter households, peaking at 42.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710007002 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710007002 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710007002 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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