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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710002600 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,079 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51710002600 sits in the Colonial Place area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 4,079 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 29% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units959
Renter share77.6%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$43,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Colonial Place
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8861, -76.2966 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Place scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,527 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Colonial Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0026004.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 374Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.7%Peak (2016)
  • 218Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colonial Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Place

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $43,625 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Cost burden runs 63% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 30.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 1.4 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

At $1,527 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 374 filings here across 2 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 24.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710002600?

Census tract 51710002600 in the Colonial Place neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710002600?

Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710002600?

40.2% of residents in tract 51710002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,079.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 1th, minority 79th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 51710002600 considered part of Colonial Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710002600 fall within Colonial Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 374 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.38% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710002600 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710002600 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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