Colonial Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk
Tract 51710002600 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,079 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51710002600 sits in the Colonial Place area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 4,079 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8861, -76.2966 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Place scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Colonial Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 374Total filings over 2 yrs
- 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2016)
- 218Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colonial Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.5%Food insecurity
- 27.9%SNAP enrollment
- 20.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 27.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Place
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $43,625 and the ratio lands at 42%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Cost burden runs 63% here against 50.4% across Norfolk City. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Food insecurity runs 30.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 1.4 points above the Norfolk City average of 4.1. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
At $1,527 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Norfolk commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 374 filings here across 2 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 24.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Norfolk. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51710002600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710002600?
What is the average rent in tract 51710002600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710002600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710002600?
Is tract 51710002600 considered part of Colonial Place?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710002600?
What share of households in tract 51710002600 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51710002600 compare to Norfolk overall?
Was tract 51710002600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.