Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg
Tract 51730810600 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 1,608 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 51730810600 covers part of the Heights area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,608 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units720
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$36,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2148, -77.4141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heights scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3
How Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 709Total filings over 7 yrs
- 21.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.0%Peak (2013)
- 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 32.3%Housing insecurity
- 25.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.7%Food insecurity
- 49.4%SNAP enrollment
- 22.7%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 50.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heights
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 50.0% against 31.5% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 32.3% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $947, 19% below the Petersburg average.
It sits 1.1 points above the Petersburg City average of 6.1. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 709 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 29.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 21.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51730810600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810600?
Census tract 51730810600 in the Heights neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51730810600?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810600?
37.0% of residents in tract 51730810600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,608.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 51730810600 considered part of Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810600 fall within Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 709 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.64% of renter households, peaking at 29.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51730810600 struggle to pay rent?
About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51730810600 compare to Petersburg overall?
Tract 51730810600 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lakemont
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Western Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pocahontas
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kennelworth
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Battersea
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oakhurst
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westbourne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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