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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Pocahontas Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730811300 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,089 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Eviction risk in Pocahontas in Petersburg centers on tract 51730811300, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,089 residents. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,076 a month while the average household earns $43,620 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 48% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,775
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$43,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pocahontas
Moderate
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Elevated
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2259, -77.3960 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pocahontas scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,076 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Pocahontas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pocahontas risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 811300Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,749Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 28.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.2%Peak (2016)
  • 385Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308113002010: 137 filings (17.91/100 renter HHs)2011: 191 filings (22.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 188 filings (22.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 268 filings (31.90/100 renter HHs)2014: 276 filings (32.86/100 renter HHs)2015: 304 filings (36.19/100 renter HHs)2016: 385 filings (34.16/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 181% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pocahontas

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,749 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 28.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 34.2% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730811300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730811300?

Census tract 51730811300 in the Pocahontas neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730811300?

Median gross rent is $1,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730811300?

25.9% of residents in tract 51730811300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,089.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730811300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 67th, minority 82th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 51730811300 considered part of Pocahontas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730811300 fall within Pocahontas (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730811300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,749 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730811300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.31% of renter households, peaking at 34.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730811300 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730811300 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730811300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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