Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Pocahontas Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg
Tract 51730811300 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,089 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 51730811300 in the Pocahontas area of Petersburg, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,089 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,775
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate25.9%
Median income$43,620
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2259, -77.3960 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pocahontas scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
25.9% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,076 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3
How Pocahontas compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,749Total filings over 7 yrs
- 28.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 34.2%Peak (2016)
- 385Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 181% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.3%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 27.2%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pocahontas
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.9/10.
Cost burden runs 38% here against 48.7% across Petersburg City. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. SNAP participation runs 27.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,749 filings here across 7 tracked years. Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 34.2% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,076, 8% below the Petersburg average. In a typical year about 28.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51730811300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730811300?
Census tract 51730811300 in the Pocahontas neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51730811300?
Median gross rent is $1,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730811300?
25.9% of residents in tract 51730811300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,089.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730811300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 67th, minority 82th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 51730811300 considered part of Pocahontas?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730811300 fall within Pocahontas (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730811300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,749 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730811300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.31% of renter households, peaking at 34.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51730811300 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51730811300 compare to Petersburg overall?
Tract 51730811300 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lakemont
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Western Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kennelworth
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Battersea
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oakhurst
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westbourne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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