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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Western Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730810500 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,872 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51730810500 sits in the Western Hills neighborhood of Petersburg eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.6/10. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,179 a month while the average household earns $46,293 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 27% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$46,293

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Western Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2067, -77.4312 · click any tract to drill in

Why Western Hills scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,179 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Western Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Western Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 810500Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,356Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 59.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 84.1%Peak (2013)
  • 334Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308105002010: 520 filings (52.79/100 renter HHs)2011: 567 filings (70.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 436 filings (54.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 672 filings (84.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 487 filings (60.95/100 renter HHs)2015: 340 filings (42.55/100 renter HHs)2016: 334 filings (50.38/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Western Hills

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810500?

Census tract 51730810500 in the Western Hills neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810500?

Median gross rent is $1,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810500?

33.1% of residents in tract 51730810500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,872.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810500 considered part of Western Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810500 fall within Western Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,356 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.47% of renter households, peaking at 84.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810500 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810500 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810500 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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