Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Western Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg
Tract 51730810500 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,872 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 51730810500 covers part of the Western Hills area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,872. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate33.1%
Median income$46,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2067, -77.4312 · click any tract to drill in
Why Western Hills scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.1% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,179 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3
How Western Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,356Total filings over 7 yrs
- 59.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 84.1%Peak (2013)
- 334Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.5%Housing insecurity
- 20.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.7%Food insecurity
- 37.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.8%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 20.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Western Hills
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.
The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
It sits 1.1 points above the Petersburg City average of 6.1. Cost burden runs 54% here against 48.7% across Petersburg City.
Court records carry 3,356 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 84.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 59.5% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51730810500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810500?
Census tract 51730810500 in the Western Hills neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51730810500?
Median gross rent is $1,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810500?
33.1% of residents in tract 51730810500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,872.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 51730810500 considered part of Western Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810500 fall within Western Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,356 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 59.47% of renter households, peaking at 84.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51730810500 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51730810500 compare to Petersburg overall?
Tract 51730810500 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lakemont
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pocahontas
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kennelworth
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Battersea
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oakhurst
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westbourne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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