Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Westbourne Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730811000 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 5,099 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51730811000 (the Westbourne neighborhood of Petersburg, Virginia) comes in at 6.8/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 91% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,129 a month while the average household earns $58,644 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 33% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,251
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$58,644

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Westbourne
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Low
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#494 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.1915, -77.4150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Westbourne scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,129 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Westbourne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Westbourne risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 811000Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,438Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 90.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 105.8%Peak (2014)
  • 839Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308110002010: 622 filings (65.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 764 filings (92.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 662 filings (80.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 819 filings (99.64/100 renter HHs)2014: 870 filings (105.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 862 filings (104.87/100 renter HHs)2016: 839 filings (85.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Westbourne

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730811000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730811000?

Census tract 51730811000 in the Westbourne neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730811000?

Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730811000?

10.2% of residents in tract 51730811000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,099.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730811000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 50th, minority 82th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 51730811000 considered part of Westbourne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730811000 fall within Westbourne (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730811000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,438 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730811000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 90.71% of renter households, peaking at 105.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730811000 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730811000 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730811000 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related