Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Westbourne Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg
Tract 51730811000 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 5,099 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51730811000 covers part of the Westbourne area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,099. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units2,251
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$58,644
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.1915, -77.4150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Westbourne scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,129 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3
How Westbourne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5,438Total filings over 7 yrs
- 90.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 105.8%Peak (2014)
- 839Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 17.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Westbourne
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10.
Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The filing record is not thin: 5,438 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 105.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 90.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,129, close to the Petersburg average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,644.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51730811000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730811000?
Census tract 51730811000 in the Westbourne neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51730811000?
Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730811000?
10.2% of residents in tract 51730811000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,099.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730811000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 50th, minority 82th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 51730811000 considered part of Westbourne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730811000 fall within Westbourne (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730811000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,438 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730811000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 90.71% of renter households, peaking at 105.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51730811000 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51730811000 compare to Petersburg overall?
Tract 51730811000 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lakemont
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Western Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pocahontas
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kennelworth
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Battersea
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oakhurst
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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