Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Petersburg
Tract 51730810700 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 2,094 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51730810700 covers part of the Heights area of Petersburg, VA, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,094. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units945
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$32,757
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 37.2155, -77.4048 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heights scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$707 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3
How Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 778Total filings over 7 yrs
- 16.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.9%Peak (2013)
- 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.2%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 44.2%Food insecurity
- 50.6%SNAP enrollment
- 22.3%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 52.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heights
SNAP participation runs 50.6% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.
Average gross rent is $707, 40% below the Petersburg average. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.2% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 778 evictions over 7 years of observation. Against the Petersburg City average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 19.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 16.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51730810700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810700?
Census tract 51730810700 in the Heights neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51730810700?
Median gross rent is $707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810700?
24.1% of residents in tract 51730810700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,094.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 51730810700 considered part of Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810700 fall within Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 778 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.16% of renter households, peaking at 19.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51730810700 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51730810700 compare to Petersburg overall?
Tract 51730810700 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg
Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lakemont
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Western Hills
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Heights
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Pocahontas
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Kennelworth
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Battersea
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oakhurst
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Westbourne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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