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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730810700 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 2,094 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51730810700 (the Heights area of Petersburg, Virginia) comes in at 7.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $707 a month against an average household income of $32,757 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 45% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units945
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$32,757

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Elevated
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2155, -77.4048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heights scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$707 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 810700Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 778Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 16.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.9%Peak (2013)
  • 99Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308107002010: 94 filings (13.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 118 filings (17.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 118 filings (17.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 136 filings (19.88/100 renter HHs)2014: 116 filings (16.96/100 renter HHs)2015: 97 filings (14.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 99 filings (14.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 778 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 16.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.9% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810700?

Census tract 51730810700 in the Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810700?

Median gross rent is $707/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810700?

24.1% of residents in tract 51730810700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,094.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 92th, minority 89th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810700 considered part of Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810700 fall within Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 778 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.16% of renter households, peaking at 19.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810700 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810700 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810700 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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