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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Camelot Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730811100 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 3,431 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 51730811100, home to 3,431 residents in Camelot in Petersburg, scores 6.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,549 monthly, set against $54,924 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 24% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,548
Renter share51.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$54,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Camelot
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Very Low
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#534 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.1820, -77.3913 · click any tract to drill in

Why Camelot scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,549 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Camelot compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Camelot risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 811100Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,797Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 56.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 74.9%Peak (2015)
  • 483Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308111002010: 261 filings (37.55/100 renter HHs)2011: 324 filings (46.55/100 renter HHs)2012: 291 filings (41.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 459 filings (65.95/100 renter HHs)2014: 458 filings (65.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 521 filings (74.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 483 filings (66.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 85% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Camelot

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,797 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 57.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 74.9% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730811100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730811100?

Census tract 51730811100 in the Camelot neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730811100?

Median gross rent is $1,549/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730811100?

7.3% of residents in tract 51730811100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,431.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730811100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 8th, minority 86th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 51730811100 considered part of Camelot?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730811100 fall within Camelot (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730811100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,797 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730811100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 56.98% of renter households, peaking at 74.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730811100 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730811100 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730811100 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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