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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Petersburg

Tract 51730810600 · Petersburg city, VA · pop 1,608 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 51730810600, home to 1,608 residents in the Heights area of Petersburg, scores 7.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $947 monthly, set against $36,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 31% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units720
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate37.0%
Median income$36,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Heights
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Petersburg
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Petersburg city
Very High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 37.2148, -77.4141 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heights scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Petersburg
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
37.0% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Petersburg
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Petersburg
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Petersburg
7.3

How Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 810600Petersburg: 4.24.2Petersburgparent cityCounty: 5.15.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 709Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 21.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.0%Peak (2013)
  • 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 517308106002010: 80 filings (16.77/100 renter HHs)2011: 98 filings (21.03/100 renter HHs)2012: 78 filings (16.74/100 renter HHs)2013: 135 filings (28.97/100 renter HHs)2014: 109 filings (23.39/100 renter HHs)2015: 114 filings (24.46/100 renter HHs)2016: 95 filings (20.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 19% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Petersburg City County average of 7.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 32.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51730810600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51730810600?

Census tract 51730810600 in the Heights neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51730810600?

Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51730810600?

37.0% of residents in tract 51730810600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,608.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51730810600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 51730810600 considered part of Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51730810600 fall within Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51730810600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 709 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51730810600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.64% of renter households, peaking at 29.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51730810600 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51730810600 compare to Petersburg overall?

Tract 51730810600 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Petersburg at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Petersburg

Top eight tracts in Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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