Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Barton Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760011100 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,462 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 51760011100 sits in the Barton Heights area of Richmond eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,298
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$37,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5621, -77.4442 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barton Heights scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,106 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Barton Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,966Total filings over 4 yrs
- 92.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 111.7%Peak (2016)
- 601Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barton Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.3%Food insecurity
- 24.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 22.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barton Heights
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 50.2% across Richmond City.
The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $37,500 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Richmond City average of 4.3. At $1,106 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Richmond commands.
SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 26.3% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 1,966 evictions over 4 years of observation.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760011100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760011100?
Census tract 51760011100 in the Barton Heights neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760011100?
Median gross rent is $1,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760011100?
33.8% of residents in tract 51760011100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,462.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760011100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 12th, minority 83th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51760011100 considered part of Barton Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760011100 fall within Barton Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760011100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,966 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760011100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 92.93% of renter households, peaking at 111.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760011100 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760011100 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760011100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760011100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodstock
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
The Fan
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Washington Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fulton Bottom
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related