Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Barton Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760011000 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,939 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Eviction risk in Barton Heights in Richmond centers on tract 51760011000, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,939 residents. That is riskier than about 86% of US census tracts.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,317 monthly, set against $52,946 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,037
Renter share56.2%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$52,946
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5627, -77.4297 · click any tract to drill in
Why Barton Heights scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,317 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Barton Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 30%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 917Total filings over 4 yrs
- 60.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 79.8%Peak (2014)
- 240Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Barton Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.1%Food insecurity
- 29.3%SNAP enrollment
- 15.0%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Barton Heights
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 917 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 60.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 79.8% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760011000?
Census tract 51760011000 in the Barton Heights neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760011000?
Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760011000?
16.1% of residents in tract 51760011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 68th, minority 86th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51760011000 considered part of Barton Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760011000 fall within Barton Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 917 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 60.57% of renter households, peaking at 79.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760011000 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760011000 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760011000 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760011000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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