Church Hill North Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $870 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Richmond commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 50.2% across Richmond City. Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 448 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2015, when 31.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 28.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $62,543, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.