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Neighborhood · Richmond, VA

Church Hill North Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,637 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Church Hill North is a black-white neighborhood in Richmond with 1 census tract and a population of 1,637 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 57% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $870/month sits 37% lower than the Richmond citywide average ($1,372).

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Church Hill North vs Richmond How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.8% +83%
Richmond: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$870 -37%
Richmond: $1,372
Average HH income
$62,543 0%
Richmond: $62,671
Poverty rate
28.1% +49%
Richmond: 18.8%
Renter share
54.1% -4%
Richmond: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Church Hill North and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Church Hill North scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
28.1% below poverty line · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Church Hill North vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Church Hill North score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Church Hill North: 5.45.4Church Hill NorthNeighborhoodParent city: 4.74.7Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Church Hill North

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51760020700 5.4 1,637 57% $870
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 64%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Church Hill North

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 448Total filings (sum)
  • 28.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 31.3%Peak year (2015)
  • 23.12%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Church Hill North

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Church Hill North

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Church Hill North?

Church Hill North scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Church Hill North compare to Richmond overall?

Church Hill North scores 0.7 points higher than Richmond overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $870 vs $1,372.
Q3

What is the average rent in Church Hill North?

Average gross rent in Church Hill North is $870/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Church Hill North residents are renters?

54% of Church Hill North households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Richmond). The neighborhood has 1,637 residents.
Q5

Is Church Hill North a high social-vulnerability area?

Church Hill North sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Church Hill North for landlords?

Church Hill North carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Richmond as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Church Hill North?

Church Hill North has 1,674 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (51.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.1%), Hispanic / Latino (11.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Church Hill North

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Richmond

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Church Hill North.

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