Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Oregon Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Richmond
Tract 51760041300 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 51760041300 covers part of the Oregon Hill area of Richmond, VA, and scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,243. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate28.1%
Median income$53,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5354, -77.4604 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oregon Hill scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
28.1% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,328 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Oregon Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 31%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 335Total filings over 4 yrs
- 13.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2013)
- 74Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Oregon Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 22.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.1%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oregon Hill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Richmond City average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 335 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 14.9% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 13.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760041300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760041300?
Census tract 51760041300 in the Oregon Hill neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760041300?
Median gross rent is $1,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760041300?
28.1% of residents in tract 51760041300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760041300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 14th, minority 75th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 51760041300 considered part of Oregon Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760041300 fall within Oregon Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760041300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 335 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760041300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.81% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760041300 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760041300 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760041300 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760041300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Chestnut Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Carver
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Woodstock
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Related